【新唐人2012年3月5日讯】3月5号召开的中共“两会”，预计将公布2012年度的国防预算，中共人大发言人李肇星声称，2012年中共国防开支将达到6702亿元人民币，比去年增加了676亿元人民币，上升了11.2%。中共军事预算在世界上位居第二，仅次于美国。在20多年间，中共军费几乎是不间断的保持了两位数的增长。此前出席全国政协会议的军方高层代表声称，中国增加军费不怕外界炒作“威胁论”。有分析认为，即便没有美国重返亚洲的新战略压力，今年中共当局仍然会继续大幅增加国防预算，中共的军事扩张野心从来都没有改变过。
北美政论家文昭指出，中国的军费增长速度在全世界都是非常罕见的，而且存在数额庞大的隐形军事开支。
北美政论家文昭︰“所以说他这个国防预算里边，基本上不包括这么几个部分，第一个部分就是典型的现代化武器的发展，我刚才说的航空母舰，隐形战机，核潜艇还有新型的战略核导弹。第二部分是对外军事采购没有包括在这笔账里面，像俄罗斯这些国家采购的一些武器，整套武器系统和备件没有包括在这里面。第三部分，就是准军事组织的开销，中国有很庞大的所谓武警，他其实也是一种军事体系，那这种开支也没有包括在国防预算里面。”
日前出席全国政协会议的一批解放军将领表示，中国要“根据经济发展和国防需要”增加军费。
美国“南卡罗来纳大学”教授，经济学家谢田对这种说法表示质疑。
经济学家谢田︰“（中国）经济没有真正的强有力的实质性的增长，而是虚假的泡沫，而军费实际上增加的话，那就造成了军费占国民经济总产值比例越来越高，换句话说对中国老百姓的负担越来越大，中国就会慢慢走上一种穷兵黩武的这样一种国家的状态。这对中国老百姓来说是巨大的负担，对世界和平来说也是一个巨大的威胁。”
中国《新闻社》的报导引述解放军中将孔瑛的话说，中国增加军费不怕外界炒作“威胁论”。近年来中国与日本在钓鱼岛的归属问题上的冲突，以及与越南、菲律宾等邻国的领海争议，令亚太国家倍感中共军事威胁。为此，奥巴马多次向亚洲盟国保证，美国将继续留驻亚太地区。美国国防部也表示“将重新恢复亚太地区(军力)平衡”。
北美政论家文昭：“实际上不管美国他的战略重点往哪里去调整的话，他（中共）的军事扩张的步伐是不会减缓的，只不过美国可能重返亚洲的话，对他刺激强了点，他可能压力紧迫一些，他有些工作会做的步伐更快一些，即使没有这些事，他的军费增加，他的军事扩张的步伐还是会加速的。”
中共解放军中将孔瑛还声称︰“中国军费开支比美国等国家少得多”，但外界分析认为，与美国不同，中共增加军费是出于独裁目地和向外扩张的野心。如最近中共为了国内维稳，投入的经费已经超出军费开支。
谢田进一步指出，相反的，美国保持一定实力的军事力量，对于独裁国家能起到有效的制衡作用。
经济学家谢田︰“作为世界警察，要维护世界和平的话，美国显然需要维持庞大的军事支出，比如他要维持11艘航母的舰队，在世界各地来能保持武装力量的投送，保持战略的威胁，这样使得那些极权主义，独裁主义和共产主义的国家的力量不敢蠢蠢欲动，我觉得这对世界和平真是有好处的。 ”
至于中国的国防是否真的需要增加军费，谢田认为，这应该由民意来决定。
经济学家谢田︰“实际上是一个政治的问题，这是一个国民的体制的问题，就是国家资源如何分配的问题。不能随便的任由的让军方的力量来这样要求，实际上应该由立法者，类似国会这样的机构，民意代表的机构来决定军事的运转。”
文昭指出，在民主国家，福利性开支是政府支出中最主要的部分，而中国的教育，福利以及跟民生直接有关系的支出，跟军费增长是不成比例的。
新唐人记者刘惠、许旻、孙宁采访报导。
CCP’s Military Expenditure Continuingly Hikes: Bringing to 670.2 Billion Chinese Yuan
On the two March 5th CCP congresses, China’s national
defense budget of 2012 is expected to be announced.
Li Zhaoxing, Speaker for China’s National People’s Congress,
declared that in 2012, China’s national defense expenditure will amount to 670.2 billion Chinese Yuan.
It has increased by 67.6 Billion Chinese Yuan
and 11.2 percent compared to last year.
China ranks second in the world’s biggest
defense budgets next to America.
In the past 20 years, the CCP’s annual military
spending has been increasing sharply.
Representatives of China’s senior military officials claimed
that China will continue to increase its military spending
and is not afraid of the overwhelming criticisms
of “China is threatening the world”.
Some analysts points out that even without the pressure
from America’s new strategy on Asia-Pacific,
this year the Chinese regime would still increase its budget
on national defense.
The ambitions of China on military expansion
have never changed.
North American political commentator Wen Zhao said
the speed of China’s military expansion is very rare among all
the countries in the world.
In addition, there is also a huge amount of non-publicized
military expenditure in China.
Wen Zhao: “The defense budget excluding these few parts,
first is the developing of typical modern weapons,
the aircraft carriers, stealth fighters, nuclear submarines and
also new strategic nuclear missiles.
Secondly, the foreign military procurement: excluding
some of the weapons from Russia’s,
the full set of weapons systems and spare parts are not
included in there.
The third part is the cost of paramilitary organization of
the overhead, there are very large so-called armed police,
it is actually a military system, and this expenditure
does not include in the defense budget.”
Some Chinese military generals have attended the
Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference.
They claim China will increase military spending according
to economic development and national defense needs.
Xie Tian is a Professor and economist from the University
of South Carolina. He expressed doubt at the claims from the military generals.
Xie Tian: “The growth of China’s economy is neither
substantial nor strong, but full of bubbles.
Meanwhile, if China keeps increasing its military spending,
it will account for a bigger and bigger proportion of the national total production value.
In other words, ordinary people will have
to take the consequences.
The way China abuses its money on military expansion
will bring a huge economic burden to ordinary people.
It is also a big threat to universal peace.”
State media Xinhua quoted General Jiang Zhongying.
China will continue to increase its military spending and is not
afraid of the criticisms of “China is threatening the world”.
In recent years, the conflict of China with Japan on the
ownership of the Diaoyu Islands and the territorial disputes of China with Vietnam and Philippines has occurred.
This has made Asia-Pacific countries feel threatened
by China’s military power.
Regarding this, Obama promised many times to Asian allies
that America will continue stationing in the Asia-Pacific area.
American Department of Defense has also declared that
America will help recover military balance in the Asia-Pacific.
Wen Zhao: “No matter how America adjusts its strategy,
China’s military expansion will not slow down.
The pressure from America’s new strategy on Asia-Pacific
only stimulates the CCP to speed up its military expansion.
Without the pressure, CCP will still increase its military
spending. It will never slow down its military expansion.”
CCP’s military general Jiang Zhongying claimed: “China’s
military spending is a lot less than that of America’s or other countries.”
However, different from the U.S., some analysts indicate
China increases its military spending to maintain its autocracy and aggression.
CCP’s expenses on “maintenance of stability” within China
are already more than its military spending.
Xie Tian: “On the contrary, for America to maintain military
power, it can help restrict threats from autarchic countries.”
Xie Tian: “As the world’s police, America has to have a huge
amount of military expense to defend world peace.
For example, it has to maintain 11 aircraft carriers to make
sure that armed forces can be transported anywhere needed.
America needs to maintain its military power so that
totalitarian, authoritarian and communist regimes wouldn’t take a chance to threaten the world.
I think it’s beneficial to the world peace.”
Xie Tian thinks whether China needs to increase its military
expansion should be decided by public will in China.
Xie Tian: “It is actually a political issue.
It is an issue related to regime system.
How to allocate national resources cannot
be simply decided by China’s military side.
In fact, it should be decided by some structure
similar to American Congress.
Military spending should be decided by public will.”
Wen Zhao pointed out that welfare expenditure is the most
important part of government spending in democracy.
However, in China, the spending on education, welfare
and other aspects related to people’s well-being are not even comparable to increasing military expenditure.
NTD Reporters Liu Hui, Xu Min and Sun Ning
