采访/常春 编辑/尚燕 后制/王明宇
CCP Infighting Delays Promotion of Generals
Unlike previous years, no information has been released
about promotions until today, when news broke that
six have been promoted as generals.
However, the Beidaihe meeting hasn’t been held yet.
This year it has been quiet so far,
although the Beidaihe meeting was adjourned.
One commentator says this indicates in-fighting among
high-level CCP leaders, over the senior military positions.
Soon it will be August; the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)’s
People’s Liberation Army major headquarters and military
regions and services have held many ceremonies, awarding
officials the ranks of lieutenant generals and major generals.
There was news of ceremonies being held on July 23 and 28,
however, it was not implemented.
In addition, rumors said there would be a power struggle
among currently retired senior veterans on July 25—but this also failed to materialize.
Nine members of the CCP Politburo Standing Committee
showed their faces together on July 27, indicating that the Beidaihe meeting had been adjourned.
On July 30, Hong Kong’s Apple Daily commented,
“Leaders from the high level are still fighting about
the military senior personnel arrangements.
Heng He, current affairs commentator, says, after the 7/21
Beijing floods all CCP Standing Committee members had disappeared from the media headlines for 16 days.
Indicating intense fighting within the high level CCP
towards the next generation of candidates.
Heng He: “It is the end of July, according to traditions,
military ranks should be granted once.
However, this year the CCP faces more important issues
than endowing military ranks.
When the problem of the next successors is not resolved,
the CCP cannot take care of the matter of endowments.”
Wu Fan, chief editor of China Affairs says, in the army there is
fighting between the ‘pro-Bo’ and ‘against-Bo’ factions.
Hu Jintao does not have sufficient influence in the military,
so there are more major problems than endowing generals.
[Wu Fan, chief editor of China Affairs]: “Granting the rank is not the main issue for now;
who gets into the Central Military Commission is crucial.
The new Central Military Commissioners are not there yet
and this is disadvantageous for Hu Jintao.
Hu wants to be chairman of the
Central Military Commission (CMC);
in the first two years, Hu must form an alliance
the vice chairman and all new members of the CMC.”
After Bo Xilai’s downfall, China’s military has often
expressed loyalty to Hu Jintao—Wu Fan thinks there may be implicit deals in the making.
[Wu Fan]: “Previously, Guo Boxiong had led all members of
the CMC and the Vice Chairman to pledge allegiance,
however, I think it is only on the surface.
They are negotiating with Hu Jintao—I’ll be loyal to you,
and you can be the chairman of the CMC for two years.
In return, as members of the CMC, we will have the right to
speak—I believe there is a compromise there."
The CCP has not announced charges against Bo Xilai;
recently, Chongqing Garrison Commander Zhu Heping,
who was implicated in Bo Xilai’s case, reappeared in public
after having disappeared for three months.
Hong Kong’s Ming Pao Daily quoted an analyst’s comment,
“the CCP has tried to narrow the influence of Bo Xilai’s case,
in particular, not to let it affect the military’s stability.”
Heng He believes that the CCP wants to reduce
the influence of the Bo Xilai incident,
and therefore, it is giving up further studying
the officials’ renewed loyalty.
[Heng He]: “The highest CCP authorities want to ‘damage
the control’ of Bo Xilai case, meaning to reduce its influence.
They do not want military unrest to occur;
since they do not have the ability to bring out military unrest,
they must rely on the power within
the army to settle the rest."
Fan Wu points out that this once again demonstrates
that the military and the CCP are not of one mind.
[Wu Fan]: “Bo’s downfall has not hurt the police commander,
because someone from above has protected him.
They are negotiating—you can be the chairman of the CMC,
but you must not intervene with things in the military.
Superficially I am loyal to you, but that is an empty promise;
we can make a deal, but truly following you will be very hard.”
Zhu Heping was fired for using public funds from Bo Xilai
to construct a building for retired military officers.
In addition, other commanders being implicated in the case
such as General Liu Yuan, General Zhang Haiyang
and Major General Zhou Xiao Zhou, have all re-appeared
in public, one after another.
Zhou Xiao Zhou was recently promoted to chief of staff
of the Chengdu Military Region.