【禁闻】主张放弃朝鲜 中共智囊被停职

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【新唐人2013年04月03日讯】今年2月,朝鲜进行了第三次地下核试爆,震惊世界。身为中共智囊之一的“中央党校”理论刊物《学习时报》副编审邓聿文,在英国《金融时报》上公开撰文《中国应该抛弃朝鲜》。美国《纽约时报》4月1号报导,邓聿文已经遭到中共当局无限期停职。

《纽约时报》报导说,由于邓聿文的地位,他所撰写的《中国应该抛弃朝鲜》这篇文章,吸引了美国政府和欧洲的注意,并被一些人视为可能改变中共领导人习近平支持朝鲜的迹象。

邓聿文的文章指出,朝鲜第三次核试是中国(共)重估这一盟友关系的好时机,中国(共)政府应该抛弃朝鲜,并推动朝鲜半岛重新统一。

邓聿文表示,中国(共)视朝鲜为有用的地缘政治盟友,基于这一点来构建战略安全的做法已经过时,朝鲜今天是否仍对中国(共)有用值得怀疑,朝鲜与中国也有分歧,政权也不稳定。邓聿文说,中国没有必要与一个迟早面临垮台的政权和国家保持关系。

邓聿文在接受韩国《朝鲜日报》电话采访时表示,他因为这篇文章已经遭到无限期停职。邓聿文说,外交部受到“刺激”,打电话到“中央党校”投诉。

“复旦大学”国际问题研究学院“韩国朝鲜研究中心”副主任蔡建表示, 邓聿文的文章,在学界也引起一些反响。

复旦大学韩国朝鲜研究中心副主任蔡建:“我觉得身为一个中央党校的研究人员,这个是比较让人感到吃惊的,因为我们觉得中央党校的很多方面,应该可能反映政府的很多立场吧,可能外界也猜测,中国(共)对朝政策是否要有所改变。”

蔡建表示,朝鲜第三次核爆后,中共对朝鲜的政策并没有改变。

蔡建:“我们仍然认为朝鲜对中国来讲,安全、整个的战略来讲,都具有非常大的重要意义,中国(共)的政策仍然是要维持朝鲜的稳定和朝鲜的存在,来维持半岛地区的一个战略平衡。”

时事评论员林子旭表示,邓聿文的文章说明,中共党内有一部分人对朝鲜已经极其反感。

时事评论员林子旭:“这短短的一两年,中共的这些狐朋狗友死的死、亡的亡,危机四伏的中共目前显得是空前的孤立,如果朝鲜这个政权也垮掉了,中共就变成倒数第一了,它的丑陋就会更加清晰的暴露出来,出于心理上的极度恐惧,中共是一定要想办法保住朝鲜的。”

虽然中共表示支持联合国对朝鲜新一轮的制裁。但问题是,和往常的制裁行动一样,中共会多大程度的严肃执行决议﹖因为中共也强调,制裁不是解决朝鲜问题的办法。

那么,邓聿文是否因为此事而被停职呢?邓聿文向《新唐人》表示,现在是非常时期,暂不接受采访。但他说,《纽约时报》已经说明了。

蔡建:“这种可能性我觉得不能完全排除,目前朝鲜的问题在我们中国是一个很敏感的话题,不太容许报纸和杂志上出现跟政府相左的一些观点。”

而中共“中央党校”党建教研部教授蔡霞披露,邓聿文并非“中央党校”的正式职工。

中共中央党校党建教研部教授蔡霞:“邓聿文他不是我们学校的正式的职工,是属于聘用员工,聘用员工就是属于那种灵活用工的,就是你也可以解除我的合同、我也可以解除你的合同的那种。”

在中国,因为批评朝鲜而被处罚的不只邓聿文一人。据了解,2004年9月,大陆《战略与管理》杂志发表文章,批评朝鲜当局不努力发展经济,提高人民生活水平,而且还片面发展核武器,令人民生活苦不堪言,置本国人民生死于不顾。《战略与管理》因此被勒令停刊。

采访编辑/常春 后制/薛莉

One CCP think-tank is suspended by advocating abandoning North Korea

In February, North Korea carried out the third underground
nuclear test explosions and shocked the world.
Deng Yuwen, the deputy editor in chief of “Study Times”
(the Central Party School publication) and also one of the CCP
think-tanks published an article on Financial Times:
China should abandon North Korea. According to the
New York Times’ report on April 1,
Deng Yumin has been indefinitely suspended
from duty by CCP.

New York Times reported that the article
“China should abandon North Korea”
attracted the attentions from U.S. and European
governments due to the Deng Yuwen’s status.
It was seen as a changing sign on the supporting policy
from the CCP new leader Xi Jinping.

Deng’s article pointed out that North Korea’s
third nuclear test provided an opportunity for China to revaluate of the alliance.
China should abandon North Korea and promote
the reunification of the Korean Peninsula.

Deng Yuwen said that China regarded
North Korea as an useful geopolitical ally.
However, this approach and its related
security strategy are outdated.
It is doubtful that North Korea is still useful for China today.

The North Korea regime is not stable and
it also has differences with China.
Deng Yuwen said, there is no need to maintain a relationship
with one regime which will collapse sooner or later.

Deng Yuwen said in a telephone interview with the Chosun
Ilbo that he has been indefinitely suspended from duty due to this article.
Deng Yuwen said that Ministry of Foreign Affairs
treated this article as a “stimulus” and complained to the Central Party School by telephone.

Cai Jian, the deputy director of the “Research Center
on South Korea and North Korea” at the Institute of
International Studies, Fudan University said that
Deng Yuwen’s article also caused some repercussions
in academia.

Cai Jian: “As a Central Party School researcher,
Deng’s article is surprising.
We feel that the Central Party School should
reflect the government stance.
Outside world may also guess if China wants to change
the policy toward North Korea.”

Cai Jian said that CCP did not change the policy toward
North Korea after the third underground nuclear test.

Cai Jian: “We still think that North Korea has played a very
significant role in the security issues and the whole strategy for China.
China’s policy is to maintain the stability and
existence of North Korea.”

Political commentator Lin Zixu said that Deng’s article
indicated the extreme antipathy on North Korea from some people within CCP.

Lin Zixu: “Just a couple of years, the gang of friends of
CCP has disappeared one by one.
The perilous CCP appears to be unprecedented isolated.

If the North Korean regime collapsed,
then CCP will become the last one.
Its dirty will be more clearly revealed.
CCP must find ways to keep North Korea
due to the extreme psychological fear.”

CCP expressed the support for the
new round United Nations sanction on North Korea.
However, according to the past sanctions,
will CCP carry out the UN resolution seriously?

Is Deng Yumin suspended from duty due to this issue?

Deng said to NTDTV that he wills not an interviewee
in such an unusual time.
However, he mentioned that the New York
Times has been described everything.

Cai Jian: “I think this possibility can not be completely ruled
out. North Korea problem in China is a very sensitive topic.
Newspapers and magazines are not allowed to report the
different views with the government.”

Cai Xia, a professor of the Teaching and Research
Department at CCP Central Party School disclosure that
Deng Yuwen is not an official employee of
the Central Party School.

Cai Xia: “Deng Yuwen is not an official employee of
our school. He is a contractor.
Contractors are quite flexible – you can terminate
the contract, I can also terminate the contract.”

Deng Yuwen is not the only person who
gets punished by criticizing North Korea.
In September 2004, “Strategy and Management”
published an article and criticized that
North Korean authorities just developed nuclear weapons,
instead of developing the economy and the standard of people’s living.
The article also mentioned that North Korean authorities
made people’s lives miserable and disregarded the life and death of its people.
The magazine was ordered to cease publication in the end.

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