【禁闻】千吨黄金成谜 谁在中国大妈背后?

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【新唐人2014年02月22日讯】据“世界黄金协会”数据显示,中国黄金需求的飙升,使得中国取代印度,成为了全球最大黄金消费国。疯狂扫金的“中国大妈”也一度震撼华尔街大鳄,成为国际市场关注焦点。但与此同时,有大量数据披露,中共央行正藏在“中国大妈”身后,大肆秘密储备黄金。分析人士认为,中共正在为已经到来的金融危机兜底。请看本台记者张天宇的分析报导。

世界黄金协会日前发布“2013年黄金需求报告”,报告指出,虽然去年金价暴跌28%,全球黄金总体需求较2012年下降了15%,但中国的黄金消费需求却增长了32%,创下记录,达到1,066吨,一举超过印度的975吨,成为全球最大的黄金购买国,占到全球黄金购买量的约三分之一。

美国《华尔街日报》评论说:黄金的剧烈波动让投资者望而却步。但在中国黄金买家依旧勇往直前。

尤其是去年4月,黄金价格暴跌15%的时候,中国大妈疯狂扫金震惊世界。但分析普遍认为,“中国大妈”不顾未来黄金价格继续下跌的巨大风险,义无反顾的购买黄金,这种看似疯狂行为的背后,折射出的是中国百姓的投资焦虑。

贵金属投资平台《银天下》黄金分析师陈远繁:“因为像房地产基本上,一是资金量要求非常的庞大。第二点它的周期性也是非常的长。第三点,国家的一个宏观调控,这个房价也是呈现泡沫经济。”

《华尔街日报》指出,中国经济放缓出现房地产泡沫的可能性,以及脆弱的金融系统等方面的担忧,推动了黄金买盘热情,尤其是在中国黄金散户投资者,没有太多其它有吸引力的投资选择的情况下。

大陆金融分析师任中道:“中国有句老话,叫做盛世古董,乱世黄金,可见黄金唯有的这种贵重金属避险属性,在几千年来不断的得到应证,无论是战争还是发生什么样经济上的困境,黄金都可以作为相应的货币,它就体现出它的货币价值。因为中国现在经济很不好,所以老百姓都希望去储备一些黄金,以便如果出现问题,可以拿出来进行变现,变成现金。”

而国际投资界则广泛流传﹕中共央行正在悄悄的增加黄金储备。

任中道:“根据中国前一段时间公布数据来看,中国现在从进口量到产量都是世界第一。同时对比世界各个国家出口黄金的数据来看,这就发现了一个问题——中国大妈没有能力能买下这么多的黄金。基本上最简单的算法,现在差不多有500吨以上黄金不知道哪里去了,其实只有中共央行才会有这么大的力量。”

大陆最大的黄金进口来源地—香港统计处,1月27号公布的最新数据显示,中国大陆2013年的黄金净进口量达到1,108吨,较2012年增长了33%,创历史新高。

美国《彭博社》也分析说,去年美国、英国、瑞士等国出口的大量黄金,极有可能流向了中国。

《韩国联合通讯社》去年12月11号报导,几个月内,朝鲜向中国出口了大量黄金。

仅从以上进口数据可以看出,去年中国进口的黄金数量,远远超过中国黄金的消费量。这还没有算上中国连续七年世界第一的黄金产量。

根据《彭博》截至去年11月的数据显示,进入2010年后,中国黄金产量逐年显著增加。却从未流出国外。

那么,中共当局储备如此多的黄金做什么?

任中道:“因为经济不断的出现问题,虽然中国有大量的外汇储备,但是由于人民币外升内贬,它也在不断的贬值。黄金还是被看好的,所以为了应对危机的到来,央行还是在不断的、秘密的储备,因为它不敢公开。如果经济真的发生了崩溃,那最后还是以黄金这种避险的方式,它拿到国际上还是可以支撑一段时间的。”

虽然中国央行过去近五年来所公布的官方黄金储备,一直停留在2009年公布的1054吨,但国际市场预测,央行的实际黄金储备最少已经达到5000吨。

采访编辑/张天宇 后制/ 李勇

Who is behind Chinese Aunty for buying Gold?

According to the World Gold Council, due to soaring demand,
China replaces India to become the largest gold consumption market in the world.
Chinese Aunty once shocked the tycoons of Wall Street by their crazy behavior in the purchasing of gold, which also once became the focus of the international market.

Meanwhile, more information reveals that the Central Bank of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is hiding behind the Chinese Aunty and secretly purchasing gold for reservation. Analysts say, the CCP is preparing for an impending major financial crisis.Let’s watch the reports from our correspondent Mr Zhang Tianyu.

According to the report, although the gold price dramatically dropped 28% and
the overall global gold demand in 2013 was 15% lower than in 2012, Chinese investment in gold was up 38% to 1,066 tons, more than the 975 tons of India.

China has become the largest gold consumption market in the world and accounts for one third of the global market.

The Wall Street Journal reviewed the result:
Dramatically fluctuating gold price scared the investors off.
However, in China, the buyers still keep buying in.

Especially, in April of last year, when gold price dramatically reduced 15%, Chinese Aunty crazily bought in gold.This shocked the world.

But the analysts generally say,such a seeming crazy shopping behavior
that Chinese Aunty kept buying in gold without considering the huge risks
of ongoing dropping gold price in the future,actually releases the investment anxiety of ordinary Chinese people.

Precious metal investment platform “Silver World" gold analyst Cheng Yuanfan emphasizes

the investment circumstance in China:"To invest the property market needs a very large amount of money and a long time cycle and faces a macroeconomic intervention, which caused serious bubbles in the property price".

Wall Street Journal points out,the possibility of Chinese economy slowing down produces property bubbles, and the concerns of vulnerable financial system, pushed the enthusiasm of buying in gold, especially considering the limited attractive investment options for gold retail investors in the China market.

Mainland financial analyst Ren Zhongdao: “A Chinese old proverb says, antique is valuable in a time of national peace and order, whereas gold is valuable
in a time of national chaos. The rare nature of avoiding risk with gold has been verified during the past several thousand years. Whatever wars or plight of economy the country encounters,gold can play its monetary role and reflect its value. Because the Chinese economic situation is very bad, the ordinary people hope to reserve some gold for converting into cash in case of the worst situation."

A saying is widely spread among international investment community:
the Central Bank of the CCP is silently increasing gold reserves.

Ren Zhongdao: “According to the published data during prior periods, China has the largest gold export and import in the world.If we compare the exported gold of all countries,then we can spot an issue-Chinese Aunty has no ability to buy so much gold. By the simplest way,we can find more than 500 tons of gold is lost.Actually, only the Central Bank of the CCP has such a big power."

The largest import source of China is Hong Kong. Hong Kong Statistics Bureau issued latest data on January 27, which shows the net imported gold of Mainland China reached a record of 1,108 tons with a growth rate of 33%.

American Bloomberg News says, a large amount of gold exported from the US, UK, Switzerland etc, probably flows into China.

Yonhap News Agency reported on December 11 of last year, during a couple of months, North Korea exported a considerable amount of gold to China.

From the above analysis, last year the gold imported into China was far more than the gold consumed in China. This excludes the gold produced in China,
which has been number one in the world during the past seven years.

According to the Bloomberg News, till last November, China’s gold production had increased year by year since 2010, but the produced gold has never flown out to overseas.

So, what is such a large amount of gold reserved for by the CCP Authorities?

Ren Zhongdao: “because economic issues continue to emerge, RMB has continually depreciated despite a large amount of foreign currency at hand.Gold is still regarded as a promising alternative monetary. So in order to cope with the upcoming crisis, the Central Bank of the CCP is still continually
and confidentially reserving it without disclosing the information.
If China’s economy really collapses, then by using the reserved gold in the world, the CCP Authorities can sustain a longer period."

Although the China Central Bank published the official gold reserve standing at 1,054 tons in 2009 during the past five years, the international market estimates the actual gold reserve at minimum reached 5,000 tons.

Interview & Edit/Zhang Tianyu Post-Production/LiYong

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