【禁闻】7副猛药 民间资本能救中国经济?

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【新唐人2012年8月1日讯】国务院总理温家宝日前主持国务院常务会议,了解“鼓励民间投资实施细则”的制定情况。会议要求,各地区及有关部门要在7大领域,推出一批引导民间投资参与的重点项目,发挥示范带动效应。外界认为,“国有企业垄断”是中共经济命脉的支柱,现在想方设法吸引民间资本,说明政府已经没钱,也是对私营企业的恶意欺骗。

国务院总理温家宝7月30号号召开国务院常务会议,听取“鼓励民间投资实施细则”制定情况的汇报,各地区及有关部门要在铁路、市政、能源、电信、金融、卫生、教育等领域,尽快推出一批引导民间投资参与的重点项目,发挥示范带动效应。

2010年《国务院关于鼓励和引导民间投资健康发展的若干意见》印发实施以来,一直没有落到实处,北京国情内参首席研究员巩胜利认为,去年温州地区的产业资本链断裂导致中国中小企业全面崩溃,是这次温家宝发话的大背景。

不过,巩胜利表示,大型国有企业的垄断才是中国经济问题的根本原因。巩胜利透露,2008年全球金融海啸之后,中共当局振兴经济方案的4万亿,铁道部就拿走了两万亿。

北京国情内参首席研究员巩胜利:“因为国有企业它的联结覆盖方方面面,买卖都是自己来做,在这种垄断之下,谁敢介入,进入了以后,政府的管理也好,法律的程序也好,都是政府垄断,没有任何公平的环境,你想吸引人家的资本进来,没有大环境谁敢进来。”

英国《金融时报》7月30号,刊登一篇署名文章说,由于经济增长速度相对温和的放缓,但企业利润却严重下滑,中国目前正处于对投资者来说最不利的时期。

报导指出,占中国整体经济绝大部分比重的国有企业,今年上半年的利润比去年同期下降11.6%,为2008年全球金融危机以来最疲软的表现,其中石化和金属业受创最重。而钢铁业则被形容为重灾区。

另外,中国各大航空公司也因为经济增长放缓,导致乘客数量减少而受到影响,中国国家航空公司说,今年上半年的利润会下降50%以上。

美国“南卡罗莱纳大学艾肯商学院”教授谢田认为,靠经济来证明它的执政合法性的中共,已经走入死胡同,他说,从中国央行的连续两次降息和国务院总理的讲话,能看出中国政府已经没有钱了,所以采取各种方法来吸引民间资本。

美国“南卡罗莱纳大学艾肯商学院”教授谢田:“我认为中国经济的硬着陆已经开始,从这个角度看,中国政府实际上是没钱的,各级政府存在同样的问题,所以现在采用各种方案,各种计划,来希望把民间资本拉入,来带动中国经济的发展。”

会议要求各地区、各有关部门采取有效措施,创造公平、透明、可预期的市场环境。

但是谢田提醒中国的民营企业家,中国的铁路、市政、能源、电信、金融的大型企业完全控制在中共的利益集团手中,投资这些领域应该三思而行。

谢田:“对这些民间资本和私营企业来说,实际上是不公平的,在正常国家,在融资的时候,你必须释出股权,释出控制利益才能换取更多的资金,而中共不会在所有权、拥有权和控制权上有丝毫的放松,这时让人投入资金,实际上是一桩赤裸裸的欺骗。”

巩胜利认为,由于中共当局60多年的全面垄断,中国目前没有任何的投资环境。

采访编辑/刘惠 后制/钟元

Can Private Investment Save China?

Recently the Premier Wen Jiabao chaired a State Council
standing committee meeting,
to understand “the implementation details
to encourage private investment.”
The meeting requires relevant regions’ departments
to launch key private investments projects in seven key areas.
Overseas experts think, with China’s state-owned economy,
encouraging private investment may indicate the government has run out of money.
This could also be a cruel deception
of private enterprises.

Premier Wen Jiabao chaired a State Council
standing committee meeting on July 30.
He listened to the status of “the implementation details
to encourage private investment.”
He said, regional departments need to hurry up and launch
key projects with private investment in various areas.
Like railways, municipal and energy firms,
telecommunications, finance, health and education.

There was a similar previous initiative in 2010,
However it has not picked up.
Beijing internal affair researcher Gong Shengli,
suggested what could be the reason for Wen’s speech.
Gong thinks it is the collapse of mid and small businesses,
caused by the investment chain fall in the Wenzhou area.

However, Gong Shengli thinks that monopoly of large state-
owned enterprises is the key issue of China’s economy.
Gong Shengli revealed that out of the 4 trillion Yuan,
to stimulate the economy after the 2008 financial crisis, the Ministry of Railway alone took 2 trillion.

Gong Shengli: “State-owned enterprises have networks.
They hold all the businesses.
Under such a monopoly, who would dare to step in?
Everything is controlled by the government.
There is no fair environment.
You want to attract capital, but who would dare to come."

Britain’s Financial Times published an article on July 30,
stating that China’s economic growth is slowing down.
Though relatively mild, the corporate profits are declining.
China is now in its most unfavorable times for investors.

The report states that the H1 profit of state-owned enterprises,
which account for majority of China’s economy, declined 11.6% compared to last year.
It is its weakest performance since 2008.

Petrochemical and metal sectors were impacted the most.
The steel industry is a disastrous sector.

In addition, the economic slowdown also caused
reduced number of passengers in China’s airlines.
Air China expects its H1 profits
to have dropped by over 50%.

Professor Xie Tian of Aiken School of Business at
University of South Carolina spoke on the issue.
Prof. Xie disclosed, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
relies on the economy to justify its ruling legitimacy. Thus it has entered a dead end.
He said both, China’s central bank cutting interest rates twice,
and the Premier’s speech now are indicative that the Chinese government is running out of money.
Thus the CCP tries a variety of ways
to attract private capital.

Prof. Xie Tian: “I think the hard landing of China’s economy
had already begun, looking at it from this perspective.
Chinese government is actually out of money at all levels,
so now it is using a variety of programs and plans to pull private capital as to boost China’s economic development."

The meeting requires related departments of each area to
create a fair, transparent and predicable market environment.

Xie Tian reminded that private entrepreneurs in China, like
railways, municipal and energy firms, telecommunications and finance, are fully controlled by the CCP’ interest groups.
The professor warns that one should think twice
before investing in these areas.

Prof. Xie Tian: “It is not fair to private capital and businesses.

In a normal country, one has to release equity to get investment,
and draw more funds.
But the CCP will not release ownership at all.
So it is a blatant deception.”

Gong Shenli thinks that due to over 60 years of monopoly,
there is no investment environment in China now.

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